Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 3.608454 3.834623 4.077825 4.360646 4.682937 5.041804 5.476012
2025-10-12 3.322036 3.636117 3.994209 4.439551 4.988951 5.659824 6.567657
2025-10-19 3.105547 3.474554 3.914452 4.491886 5.254377 6.268473 7.807030
2025-10-26 2.973857 3.390230 3.906311 4.618035 5.621799 7.081049 9.608405
2025-11-02 2.814172 3.250638 3.806859 4.602489 5.783500 7.632427 11.252587
2025-11-09 2.628011 3.059452 3.618545 4.436545 5.691181 7.755864 12.180540
2025-11-16 2.486643 2.915136 3.478818 4.320762 5.652488 7.953745 13.379507
2025-11-23 2.392170 2.825471 3.404836 4.290175 5.740275 8.395343 15.480406
2025-11-30 2.321381 2.762230 3.361330 4.298305 5.890080 8.996051 18.651551
2025-12-07 2.234216 2.671278 3.271551 4.224901 5.885212 9.274773 21.174579
2025-12-14 2.129347 2.550941 3.132520 4.062145 5.698316 9.105175 21.769990
2025-12-21 2.085661 2.513299 3.110973 4.085006 5.855610 9.779965 27.626721
2025-12-28 2.084019 2.539369 3.191890 4.296462 6.441192 11.899505 58.433481
2026-01-04 2.042845 2.507333 3.184046 4.359495 6.751382 13.537966 167.115512
2026-01-11 1.999916 2.470454 3.166170 4.403347 7.034918 15.390918 NaN
2026-01-18 1.975862 2.459678 3.187962 4.521392 7.525137 18.752368 NaN
2026-01-25 1.926227 2.408155 3.140874 4.504830 7.682964 20.910871 NaN
2026-02-01 1.852164 2.316914 3.024483 4.344640 7.435346 20.505484 NaN
2026-02-08 1.792135 2.244824 2.936200 4.232958 7.302446 20.781202 NaN
2026-02-15 1.751642 2.200793 2.891700 4.203371 7.388824 22.737226 NaN
2026-02-22 1.720692 2.169990 2.867254 4.211116 7.583287 26.087007 NaN
2026-03-01 1.677548 2.118950 2.806549 4.140442 7.536123 27.361819 NaN
2026-03-08 1.621189 2.046061 2.706606 3.983658 7.210181 25.437347 NaN